"A diversified portfolio of high-quality equities and fixed income remains the most reliable way to preserve and compound wealth over the long term. In the short term, however, it can feel uncomfortable. Not all parts of a portfolio move together, and that is precisely the point. Diversification works when a portfolio is built on reasonably priced, quality assets whose performance differs across market cycles. ..."
"You may have noticed an increasingly frequent event: large companies are breaking themselves up into smaller, more focused businesses. The stated reasons vary – management focus, sharper capital allocation or an activist investor seeking to eliminate the “conglomerate discount” – but the underlying goal is the same: to unlock value that has been hidden under an expansive corporate umbrella. Sometimes these spin-outs create a genuine positive transformation, while other times they are little more than a cosmetic reshuffling. For us, each transaction is both an opportunity to consider a newly independent company and a reason to revisit our thesis for holding the parent, examining carefully whether one, both or neither belong in your portfolio. This redoubled focus helps us own the right businesses for the long term..."
"In the second quarter, the market was volatile, falling 12% percent after the Liberation Day tariffs were announced, only to claw back all of its losses and close near a record high. We are well acquainted with uncertainty in the world economy and the markets, and our mantra has always been the one printed on the cover of the Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, “Don’t Panic.” It’s easy to maintain your composure when your portfolios are built for the inevitable bumps in the road. Our companies have been chosen to endure times of economic choppiness, but each period of stress has its own causes that lead us to reexamine our companies and their businesses to test their resilience. What is revealed is a new layer of mettle..."
"You have no doubt noticed the volatility in the markets over the past several months. Happily, your investments have been far less volatile, holding their value in the face of the stock market’s weakness. We thought that it would be helpful to discuss what is happening and what the lessons of history might teach us about the current environment..."
Q3 2024 Commentary
For some time now you have heard us lament and pontificate about...
Q1 2024 Commentary
Why are large American companies trading at near record valuations...
Q4 2023 Commentary
We don’t spend much time pondering the unknowable, for...
Q3 2023 Commentary
Financial repression was what some called it. From 2008 until last...
Q2 2023 Commentary
In the words of our mentor, Brad Perry, investing is a marathon. We...
Q1 2023 Commentary
There are times when quality and security are far less valued than...
Q4 2022 Commentary
A country’s economy is a product of its population and how...
Q3 2022 Commentary
There’s going to be a recession. We don’t know when,...
Q2 2022 Commentary
Until now, we’ve shared our thoughts on cryptocurrency...
Q1 2022 Commentary
Six months ago, we wrote to you about how inflation rose from a...
Q4 2021 Commentary
At this point in our lives, most of us have experienced some form...
Q3 2021 Commentary
For a long time, inflation was nary a whisper. Today you can hear...
Q1 2021 Commentary
In the 1980s, I had a passbook savings account at the Boston Five...
Q4 2020 Commentary
Last quarter we discussed how the market was enamored of technology...
HL Commentary
Fifty-one years ago this New Years, David L. Babson first proposed...
Q3 2020 Commentary
Recently, looking at the stock market feels a lot like we’ve...
Q2 2020 Commentary
As was the case during the French and Industrial Revolutions, we...
Q1 2020 Commentary
We were first introduced to this poem in 1990 while reading an...
Q4 2019 Commentary
2018’s Fourth Quarter lump of coal set the scene for the...
Q3 2019 Commentary
Contrary to Polonius’ advice, we’re all borrowers and...
Q2 2019 Commentary
Please contact us, if you would like a copy of our 2nd quarter 2019...
Q1 2019 Commentary
With the winter’s end upon us, we hear the ski bums amongst...
Q4 2018 Commentary
If two years ago, you had taken a nap à la Rip Van Winkle,...
Q3 2018 Commentary
Recently, we attended a luncheon with noted economist Martin...
Q2 2018 Commentary
For the past decade or so, we’ve regularly attended an annual...
Q1 2018 Commentary
We’re moving up in the world! This month we relocated our...
Q4 2017 Commentary
Like an excited kid awaiting Santa’s arrival, investors...
Q3 2017 Commentary
Seven years ago, we wrote a Harbor Light titled “Where the...
Q1 2017 Commentary
Have you ever noticed how quickly home renovations get completed on...
Q4 2016 Commentary
In The Iliad, Calchas was a seer who divined the future by...
Q3 2016 Commentary
Looking at the current economic environment, it’s easy to...
Q2 2016 Commentary
On Sunday June 20, we were lucky enough to watch LeBron James and...
Q1 2016 Commentary
If you closed your eyes on December 31st and opened them again on...
Q4 2015 Commentary
Though markets swung dramatically during 2015, in the end the stock...
Q3 2015 Commentary
This past quarter has proven to be a volatile one. While the total...
Q2 2015 Commentary
In attending the rise in interest rates, it can seem as if we have...
Q1 2015 Commentary
For all of the ups and downs over the past several months, stocks...
Q4 2014 Commentary
Against the prognostications of virtually every forecaster, the...
Q3 2014 Commentary
We are all optimizers. Whether subconsciously or intentionally, our...
Q2 2014 Commentary
The financial barometer seems high. Global economies, while not...
Q1 2014 Commentary
Today it is easy to be a pessimist. Vladimir Putin is executing a...
Q3 2013 Commentary
That's a cute little Tapir. It may be about as close to a Taper...
Q2 2013 Commentary
While sitting in my office one rainy day as the market was roaring...
Q1 2013 Commentary
Q1 The Butterfly Effect: Is Cyprus Europe's Butterfly?...
Q4 2012 Commentary
This past year was a good one for the stock market, despite...
Q3 2012 Commentary
The U.S. Congress has had 12 years to develop a thoughtful,...
Q2 2012 Commentary
We are assaulted from every direction by gloom, doom, fear and...
Q1 2012 Commentary
The S&P 500 rose by 12.3% in the first quarter, registering its...
Q4 2011 Commentary
As 2011 began, the outlook was fairly positive. If you recall, the...
Q3 2011 Commentary
Your companies typically set their own course. Their businesses are...
2011 Commentary
Driven by fears that the global economy might stumble back into...
Q2 2011 Commentary
Our second quarter letter is available to clients and by request...
Q1 2011 Commentary
Against a backdrop of rising interest rates, regime changes in...
Q4 2010 Commentary
Your investments and the market had a good year, and especially a...
The Harbor Light November
In selecting appropriate investments that we believe will perform...
Q3 2010 Commentary
Over the past 60 years, there have been, on average, only five...
Q2 2010 Commentary
Debt levels in developed countries around the world, as well as in...
Q1 2010 Commentary
What a difference a year makes! The stock market continued to move...
Q4 2009 Commentary
Along nearly every dimension, the best performing companies in 2009...
Q3 2009 Commentary
Over the past seven months we have seen an historic run in stock...
Q2 2009 Commentary
From the market's low in early March, it has rallied nearly 40%...
Q1 2009 Commentary
We all recall learning as children Benjamin Franklin's aphorism...