Commentary
Q3
2024
"For some time now you have heard us lament and pontificate about the extreme concentration in the stock market. Over the past 18 months or so, most of the market’s return has derived from a handful of technology companies. Over the past three months, this pattern has started to change, and the S&P 493 performed better than the Magnificent 7. It may not be the end of the market’s concentration, but perhaps this rotation is getting back to a more normal right-side up pyramid. Your companies fared well during the period..."
Q1
2024
"Why are large American companies trading at near record valuations compared to their counterparts in the the rest of the world, and even compared to their own history? We think that their business models are substantially better than both those of their forebearers and of their foreign competitors. This is not your mother’s or your father’s stock market..."
Q4
2023
"We don’t spend much time pondering the unknowable, for example, the future direction of the economy. When so much ink and air time are spent on such speculation, you may ask “Why not?” The quality companies you own are not primarily beholden to economic cycles that are out of their control, rather they have far more command of their own long-term destinies than the average company. Sure, in a severe recession or rocketing economy they might shrink a little or jump ahead, but your companies are more like all season tires: They won’t go as fast as slicks on a track, but neither will they slide off the road when they inevitably encounter ice or snow on the pavement. We’re New Englanders, and by nature we’re prepared for inclement weather..."
Q3
2023
"Financial repression was what some called it. From 2008 until last year, frustrated savers and retirees lamented that artificially low interest rates deprived them of much needed income. A mere 24 months ago, $1 million invested in one-year Treasury bonds would generate a paltry $1,000 in income – enough for a careful traveller to spend a weekend in a New York City hotel. At the same time, gleeful borrowers – such as younger home buyers – were locking in historically low sub-3% 30-year mortgages, and companies like Berkshire Hathaway were borrowing for 30 years at a pittance..."
Q2 2023 Commentary
In the words of our mentor, Brad Perry, investing is a marathon. We...
Q1 2023 Commentary
There are times when quality and security are far less valued than...
Q4 2022 Commentary
A country’s economy is a product of its population and how...
Q3 2022 Commentary
There’s going to be a recession. We don’t know when,...
Q2 2022 Commentary
Until now, we’ve shared our thoughts on cryptocurrency...
Q1 2022 Commentary
Six months ago, we wrote to you about how inflation rose from a...
Q4 2021 Commentary
At this point in our lives, most of us have experienced some form...
Q3 2021 Commentary
For a long time, inflation was nary a whisper. Today you can hear...
Q1 2021 Commentary
In the 1980s, I had a passbook savings account at the Boston Five...
Q4 2020 Commentary
Last quarter we discussed how the market was enamored of technology...
HL Commentary
Fifty-one years ago this New Years, David L. Babson first proposed...
Q3 2020 Commentary
Recently, looking at the stock market feels a lot like we’ve...
Q2 2020 Commentary
As was the case during the French and Industrial Revolutions, we...
Q1 2020 Commentary
We were first introduced to this poem in 1990 while reading an...
Q4 2019 Commentary
2018’s Fourth Quarter lump of coal set the scene for the...
Q3 2019 Commentary
Contrary to Polonius’ advice, we’re all borrowers and...
Q2 2019 Commentary
Please contact us, if you would like a copy of our 2nd quarter 2019...
Q1 2019 Commentary
With the winter’s end upon us, we hear the ski bums amongst...
Q4 2018 Commentary
If two years ago, you had taken a nap à la Rip Van Winkle,...
Q3 2018 Commentary
Recently, we attended a luncheon with noted economist Martin...
Q2 2018 Commentary
For the past decade or so, we’ve regularly attended an annual...
Q1 2018 Commentary
We’re moving up in the world! This month we relocated our...
Q4 2017 Commentary
Like an excited kid awaiting Santa’s arrival, investors...
Q3 2017 Commentary
Seven years ago, we wrote a Harbor Light titled “Where the...
Q1 2017 Commentary
Have you ever noticed how quickly home renovations get completed on...
Q4 2016 Commentary
In The Iliad, Calchas was a seer who divined the future by...
Q3 2016 Commentary
Looking at the current economic environment, it’s easy to...
Q2 2016 Commentary
On Sunday June 20, we were lucky enough to watch LeBron James and...
Q1 2016 Commentary
If you closed your eyes on December 31st and opened them again on...
Q4 2015 Commentary
Though markets swung dramatically during 2015, in the end the stock...
Q3 2015 Commentary
This past quarter has proven to be a volatile one. While the total...
Q2 2015 Commentary
In attending the rise in interest rates, it can seem as if we have...
Q1 2015 Commentary
For all of the ups and downs over the past several months, stocks...
Q4 2014 Commentary
Against the prognostications of virtually every forecaster, the...
Q3 2014 Commentary
We are all optimizers. Whether subconsciously or intentionally, our...
Q2 2014 Commentary
The financial barometer seems high. Global economies, while not...
Q1 2014 Commentary
Today it is easy to be a pessimist. Vladimir Putin is executing a...
Q3 2013 Commentary
That's a cute little Tapir. It may be about as close to a Taper...
Q2 2013 Commentary
While sitting in my office one rainy day as the market was roaring...
Q1 2013 Commentary
Q1 The Butterfly Effect: Is Cyprus Europe's Butterfly?...
Q4 2012 Commentary
This past year was a good one for the stock market, despite...
Q3 2012 Commentary
The U.S. Congress has had 12 years to develop a thoughtful,...
Q2 2012 Commentary
We are assaulted from every direction by gloom, doom, fear and...
Q1 2012 Commentary
The S&P 500 rose by 12.3% in the first quarter, registering its...
Q4 2011 Commentary
As 2011 began, the outlook was fairly positive. If you recall, the...
Q3 2011 Commentary
Your companies typically set their own course. Their businesses are...
2011 Commentary
Driven by fears that the global economy might stumble back into...
Q2 2011 Commentary
Our second quarter letter is available to clients and by request...
Q1 2011 Commentary
Against a backdrop of rising interest rates, regime changes in...
Q4 2010 Commentary
Your investments and the market had a good year, and especially a...
The Harbor Light November
In selecting appropriate investments that we believe will perform...
Q3 2010 Commentary
Over the past 60 years, there have been, on average, only five...
Q2 2010 Commentary
Debt levels in developed countries around the world, as well as in...
Q1 2010 Commentary
What a difference a year makes! The stock market continued to move...
Q4 2009 Commentary
Along nearly every dimension, the best performing companies in 2009...
Q3 2009 Commentary
Over the past seven months we have seen an historic run in stock...
Q2 2009 Commentary
From the market's low in early March, it has rallied nearly 40%...
Q1 2009 Commentary
We all recall learning as children Benjamin Franklin's aphorism...
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